What are crypto prediction markets?

Prediction markets let you buy "Yes" or "No" shares in the outcome of real-world events using on-chain smart contracts. If your prediction is correct, each $1 share pays $1 at settlement. Markets cover crypto prices, elections, sports results, and macroeconomic events.

How do prediction markets work?

You buy a Yes share at the current market price (e.g. $0.35 if the market thinks there's a 35% chance). If the event resolves Yes, you receive $1 per share — a $0.65 profit. If it resolves No, you lose your $0.35. Prices reflect the crowd's estimated probability and update in real time as people trade.

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls?

Often, yes. Because participants risk real money, prediction markets aggregate information faster and weight it by conviction. Academic studies have shown prediction markets outperform polls and expert forecasts on many recurring events, particularly elections and economic indicators.

Are crypto prediction markets legal?

It varies by jurisdiction. Some countries treat them as gambling (regulated or banned), some as financial derivatives, and others have no specific framework. The US has restricted retail access. Dubai (under VARA) and several EU jurisdictions allow them. Check your local rules before participating.

What is a DeFi aggregator?

A DeFi aggregator is a platform that routes your crypto swaps across hundreds of decentralised exchanges (DEXes) simultaneously to find the best rate and lowest slippage. Instead of trading on a single DEX like Uniswap, an aggregator like Steyble splits your trade across multiple pools and chains to maximise your output.

What is a crypto super app?

A crypto super app is a single non-custodial platform that combines every DeFi service — token swapping, staking, perpetuals trading, prediction markets, copy trading, cross-chain bridging, and crypto cards — in one interface. Steyble is a crypto super app, meaning you never need to switch between multiple DeFi applications.

Is Steyble self-custodial?

Yes. Steyble is entirely non-custodial and self-custodial. You hold your private keys at all times. Steyble provides the interface and smart contract routing, but never holds, controls, or has access to your assets. Every transaction requires your explicit wallet signature.

How do prediction markets work in crypto?

Crypto prediction markets let you buy or sell shares in the outcome of real-world events using on-chain smart contracts. If you buy a 'Yes' share at $0.35, you receive $1 if the event occurs (a $0.65 profit) or lose $0.35 if it does not. Markets cover crypto prices, elections, sports results, and macro events. Steyble's prediction markets are non-custodial — your funds remain in your wallet until settlement.

What are perpetual futures in crypto?

Perpetual futures (perps) are leveraged crypto trading contracts with no expiry date. Unlike traditional futures that expire monthly, perps let you hold long or short positions indefinitely. A periodic funding rate keeps the perp price aligned with spot. Steyble perpetuals run on decentralised smart contracts — you trade directly from your own wallet with full transparency into liquidation parameters.

How does copy trading work on Steyble?

Copy trading on Steyble automatically mirrors the on-chain trades of verified top-performing wallet strategies. You choose the wallets you want to copy, set your position sizing and risk limits, and Steyble replicates their trades in real time. Unlike centralised copy trading, Steyble is non-custodial — you never give up control of your funds.

What is the best way to earn passive income with crypto in 2026?

The best methods for passive crypto income in 2026 are: (1) liquid staking ETH or SOL at 3.5–8% APY, (2) lending stablecoins on lending protocols at 5–9% APY, (3) non-custodial copy trading to mirror proven wallet strategies, (4) providing liquidity to stablecoin pools at 3–6% APY, and (5) on-chain prediction markets for event-driven returns. Steyble provides access to all five methods in a single platform.

What is the best DEX aggregator in 2026?

The best DEX aggregators in 2026 route across 15+ blockchains and 100+ liquidity sources with MEV protection. Steyble's swap aggregator covers 250+ liquidity sources across Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, Base, and more — consistently delivering better rates than going directly to any single DEX. For large swaps, using an aggregator saves 0.5–2% per transaction.

How to Use Crypto Prediction Markets: Step-by-Step Guide

Crypto prediction markets let you trade on the outcome of real-world events using smart contracts. This step-by-step guide covers how they work, how to find good trades, and how to manage risk.

A prediction market is a platform where you buy or sell shares in an outcome. If you think Bitcoin will cross $150,000 by December 2026, you buy "Yes" shares. If you are right, you profit. On-chain prediction markets execute this entirely through smart contracts — no middleman.

Step 1: Choose Your Market

Markets cover crypto prices, elections, sports, macro events, and protocol milestones. Choose markets where you have an informational edge. A crypto trader has an edge on price markets; a sports analyst on match outcomes.

Step 2: Assess the Probability

A market showing "Yes at 0.35" implies a 35% probability. Your job is to determine whether that probability is accurate. If you believe the true probability is 55%, buying at 0.35 is positive expected value.

Step 3: Size Your Position

Use the Kelly Criterion to size positions mathematically
Risk only 1–2% of your portfolio per prediction
Diversify across multiple markets to reduce variance
Take profit when the market moves significantly in your favour

Prediction Markets on Steyble

Steyble prediction markets cover crypto price events, macro data releases, sports fixtures, and political outcomes. All positions are non-custodial — your funds remain in your wallet until settlement.